The Bills looks pretty good all around today, they looked good against the Dolphins two weeks ago. Their defense is playing much better and their offense has shown the ability to produce at a high level (at times). Could they win the remaining four games? Sure. Is it likely? Consider this, the Bills’ five wins have come against teams with a combined winning percentage of 0.283.
The Bills have won games against two 2-10 teams, two 4-8 teams, and a 5-7 team (combined 17-43 record). At a certain point, you have to win a game against a good team if you’re really going to challenge for a playoff spot.
Only five of the Bills twelve games have been against teams with a winning record (at this point), and they’re still 5-7. In those five games against teams with winning records, they’ve lost by a combined score of 175-84 (or an average of 35-16.8). In short, they’ve beaten teams at the bottom of the league and haven’t been competitive with the good teams.
Moving beyond that, how easy is their remaining schedule really? We’ve heard about the favorable schedule remaining but does that even mean Buffalo would be favored in those games? There is no Jacksonville, Cleveland, or Kansas City left on their schedule. They’ve already been blown out by the Jets, they barely snuck by the Dolphins at home, and they have yet to beat a team as close to .500 as St. Louis and Seattle (it feels pathetic just typing that). Ignoring the fact that winning out and ending the season at 9-7 certainly doesn’t guarantee them a playoff spot, I don’t see any games left on the schedule where Buffalo would be decided favorites.
Being home games, I could see them drawing a slight edge over the Rams or Jets but that’s still a complete toss-up in my mind. Until the Bills show the ability to beat a competent team, it’s difficult to take their playoff hopes seriously.
The one consistently inconsistent thing that this team has lacked over the last decade, as you all know is a QB. I can honestly say with a straight face now that this team is ready for a good rookie QB. Nix was spot on when he mentioned that drafting a rook in past years would have "ruined" him in this environment. But not just the team is ready for a shiny new rookie, the fans are. Remember how dearly everyone (myself included) fell head over heals in love with Fitz? The contract and the offseason completely erased all of his terribleness, the reset button was hit and Fitz was changing his mechanics. Well, that didn't happen. He's a good guy but he has hit his ceiling and we have seen everything that he has to offer.
Now, we have a team with one of the best RB duo's in the game. We have buildings for offensive linemen. We've got a defensive foundation.
We have a city that is literally dying for something out of this group. Now that the defense is showing that it isn't a decaying corpse, Mario has arrived, the focus should shift back to the offense- specifically the QB. The Colts game is absolutely inexcusable. Don't forget, the Fins game before that was nearly lost (ie- a 3 and out to give the ball back to the fins with a 1:30 in Q4 = no trust in the QB). And before the Fins game was the Pats game... (We don't even need to go there).
I'm at the point now where I don't necessarily want them to lose, but I REALLY don't want Chan and Co to dupe themselves into thinking Fitz is going to grow an arm and change his mechanics. Or that he'll do anything better than what we've seen. It's time that we all fall in love with a 1st round rookie QB (we are so ready) so we can stop being jealous of the Colts, Skins, and other young QB's coming up in the league.